Understanding and Managing Down Rounds
Date: July 30, 2022
By Tom Bar-Haim, Managing Consultant PwC Israel
The valuations of public tech companies have declined significantly in the past few months. As this trend appears unlikely to change, the question is how the private market will react. There are many reasons for the decline in stock market valuations for public companies, but the one that should concern the start-up ecosystem the most is the slowing growth rates at some public tech companies. With the sharp decline in valuations of publicly traded companies, we are slowly starting to see lower valuations in private companies as well, especially those that are already overvalued (compared to equivalents in the public sector), such as: Instacart, the grocery delivery company, which reduced its valuation from $39B to $24B (-38.5%), Klarna, Swedish fintech BNPL company, which reduced its valuation from $45.6B to $6.7B (-85%(!)) and recently in our Israeli local market Bizzabo, the event planning platform, which reduced its valuation from $285M to $200M (-30%).
It is evident that the private fundraising ecosystem might be a bit laggy as investors wait for the public valuations to rebound, however there is no doubt that we will start seeing more Down Round financing rounds in growth/late-stage start-ups soon.
Down Round refers to a private company that offers additional shares at a lower price than had been sold in the previous financing event. Simply put, more capital is needed and the company discovers that its valuation is less than it was prior to the previous round of financing. When the company is forced to sell its capital stock at a lower price per share, all other stock in the company is devalued.
The Down Round is perceived negatively and can lead to a downward spiral. This can start with investors losing confidence in the business model and employee morale declining because of underwater employee equity compensation. It should be noted that during a broader market decline like we are currently experiencing, down-round implications may be less dire.
Anti-dilution protections are also a big issue in a Down Round. The rationale behind such protections is simply related to risk management. VCs and others want to shift some of the risks from the decline in the value of a business and the cost of dilution to founders and employees. The most compelling reason that VCs use to justify the anti-dilution protection is the informational disadvantage they have relative to the founding shareholders.
The anti-dilution provisions limit the dilution of existing investors when the company sells new equity or equity-linked instruments for a lower price than it sold equity in the previous financing. Typically, the Anti-Dilution provisions lower the strike price of the instrument or increase the conversion rate, thereby increasing the number of shares issued in a conversion. However, they can also adjust the number of shares to be issued. While characterized as “standard anti-dilution” features, down-round protection provides incremental value to investors over traditional adjustments (split, dividends, etc).
In the event of a Down Round financing, existing preferred shareholders with Broad-Based Weighted Average anti-dilution protection will be compensated by adjusting their original conversion price based on the number of shares and subscription amount raised in the Down Round (this formula can be made even more company friendly by including any shares reserved under the share incentive plan but not yet awarded):
Consequently, a greater number of securities issued at a lower price will result in a larger anti-dilution adjustment.
Broad-Based Weighted Average (and other common anti-dilution mechanisms like Full-Ratchet) dilute founders and employees to percentages that may negatively affect the company. In addition, as mentioned before, it creates the effect of “Underwater Options” - share options which have an exercise price per share greater than current actual market value of a share for those employees that had already received equity options.
Although investors pursue protection for their stakes, I assume that they will also want to make sure that founders and employees are kept satisfied and engaged. This will force investors to rethink whether and how to exercise their anti-dilution protections. The following are a few ways I suggest investors and companies to consider:
What do we recommend to companies that consider raising new funds in a Down Round?
First, understand that the situation is not completely out of control. Your next actions will make all the difference when moving forward after a Down Round.
Communicate the reasons for the Down Round, the future and your vision: