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Aside from a few outliers, historic PE deal multiples have reflected the movements of the public equity market. However, over the past four years, many PE firms have been paying a higher premium than the public market, relative to revenue growth trends (see chart below).1 This can put PE firms at risk of overpaying for an asset and finding it challenging to exit at a valuation that drives an acceptable return. Industry leading firms are changing how they approach value creation during the hold period to help overcome the higher-multiple environments.
Due to these higher valuations creating a longer hold time for portfolio company (portco) exits, LP investors are dealing with a larger percentage of their investment allocation dedicated to these private investments. The shift in allocation will likely put more pressure on PE firms to achieve the kinds of returns that help justify the increase in allocation.
The longer the realization of those investments takes, the harder it can be for firms to raise incremental capital. To put it simply, LPs who are considering participating in future funds typically want to know what improvements are being made to help value creation plans so they can earn the return they expect.
Many firms are already going to have a more difficult time fundraising. Adding to these issues, PE firms’ targeted capital, the average dollars PE firms have tried to fundraise each year, has remained consistent (if not lowered) over the past few years, while simultaneously the number of funds raising capital has skyrocketed. Meaning that more PE entities are going after the same, limited LP investment dollars. This raises the question. How can PE firms stand out to LPs in this crowded market?
To help drive the kinds of return profile that LPs demand, many industry-leading PE firms are evolving beyond standard cost reduction and financial engineering to the future of value creation. PE has traditionally focused on value creation to help drive return, but industry leaders are becoming more innovative in identifying the areas of value creation that can have an outsized impact and finding clever ways of quickly making changes.
Many successful PE firms are reinvesting in their business to help drive growth through either pivoting to new business models, changing consumer experience (e,g,, digital transformation), or finding a more effective path to go to market. As shown above, the data suggests that multiples and valuations are more likely to be buoyed by companies with strong revenue growth, not just cost containment.
All firms do not have to apply all of the following techniques to their portcos, but we want to illustrate some examples where PE firms have found success. These examples are helpful for both the portcos and to help demonstrate strengths to LPs in future fundraising proposals.
Again, to help succeed with value creation, firms typically don’t have to focus on every single area listed above; the key is to find the specialty or skillset that your firm wants to develop and bring down those improvements to your portcos. Here are some thoughts on how to get started: