Our Take: financial services regulatory update – January 10, 2025

Change remains a constant in financial services regulation. Read "our take" on the latest developments and what they mean.

Current topics – January 10, 2025

1. Barr to step down as Vice Chair for Supervision

  • What happened? On January 6th, the Fed announced that Michael Barr will step down as Vice Chair for Supervision on February 28th, 2025 unless a successor is confirmed sooner. This was a reversal from his previous statement in a post-election Congressional hearing that he intended to serve out the remainder of his term, which ends in July 2026.
  • What did announcement say? Barr said that “the risk of a dispute over the position could be a distraction from our mission” and that he would stay on as a Fed Governor, which he can do until January 2032. The Fed said it does not intend to take up any major rulemakings until a new VCS is confirmed.
  • What’s next? President-elect Trump will select a new VCS from the existing Fed Board unless one of the current Governors steps down. The next term to expire is that of Adriana Kugler in January 2026.

Our Take

Barr backs down. As indicated in his statement, Barr likely expected that Trump would take the unprecedented action of demoting him and wanted to avoid the ensuing protracted legal battle. His and FDIC Chair Martin Gruenberg’s decisions to step down early will now clear the way for Trump to select all three primary negotiators from the Fed, OCC and FDIC for interagency banking rules such as Basel III endgame – to an extent. With no open seats on the Board, Trump will either select one of the two Governors he appointed in his first term – Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller – or nominate a current Governor to a position at another agency. Of these options, we believe the most likely is for Trump to select Bowman and immediately name her as Acting VCS. Whereas Waller’s background and statements as a Governor have focused on economics, Bowman previously served as the state bank commissioner of Kansas and has been outspoken on supervision and regulation since her appointment in 2018. For example, Bowman’s most recent speech on January 9th provides a blueprint for the goals she would pursue as VCS - better tailoring requirements to bank size and complexity, increasing transparency, and thoroughly considering the economic consequences of new requirements. Banks will strongly support actions in these directions, but proposed and final rules will need to gain the support of a majority of the Board - which has five members nominated by President Biden, including Barr and Chair Jerome Powell. Even so, a new VCS will have primary influence over new rulemaking and will have the most immediate impact through redirecting supervisory priorities and policies.

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