
Our Take
Barr backs down. As indicated in his statement, Barr likely expected that Trump would take the unprecedented action of demoting him and wanted to avoid the ensuing protracted legal battle. His and FDIC Chair Martin Gruenberg’s decisions to step down early will now clear the way for Trump to select all three primary negotiators from the Fed, OCC and FDIC for interagency banking rules such as Basel III endgame – to an extent. With no open seats on the Board, Trump will either select one of the two Governors he appointed in his first term – Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller – or nominate a current Governor to a position at another agency. Of these options, we believe the most likely is for Trump to select Bowman and immediately name her as Acting VCS. Whereas Waller’s background and statements as a Governor have focused on economics, Bowman previously served as the state bank commissioner of Kansas and has been outspoken on supervision and regulation since her appointment in 2018. For example, Bowman’s most recent speech on January 9th provides a blueprint for the goals she would pursue as VCS - better tailoring requirements to bank size and complexity, increasing transparency, and thoroughly considering the economic consequences of new requirements. Banks will strongly support actions in these directions, but proposed and final rules will need to gain the support of a majority of the Board - which has five members nominated by President Biden, including Barr and Chair Jerome Powell. Even so, a new VCS will have primary influence over new rulemaking and will have the most immediate impact through redirecting supervisory priorities and policies.
Our Take
Chopra tries to beat the buzzer. As the clock runs out on Rohit Chopra’s time as CFPB Director, he is not slowing down on taking actions while he still can. However, the fate of many of these final actions will ultimately be determined by a new Director. While the requirements for a CFPB standard-setting body were established by a separate rule, the open banking rule is at risk of being nullified or changed through a number of mechanisms – it could be overturned by Congress through the Congressional Review Act,1 it could be struck down in court, or the new Director could decline to defend the rule against challenges. While there is uncertainty about the future of the current version of the open banking rule, there remains a statutory mandate to issue consumer data access requirements and many fintech stakeholders are interested in advancing them. At the very least, the compliance deadlines could be pushed out while the new Director considers their options and the competing arguments of banks and fintechs. Tech companies will also provide feedback on this week’s actions related to digital payments, but it is unlikely that the new CFPB Director will use this effort to formulate new consumer protection requirements.
In contrast, removing medical debt from credit reporting is popular with consumers and would be more challenging for the new Administration to reverse. The payday lending rule has also survived several years of legal challenges and is poised to go into effect without further fanfare.
1 A simple majority in both chambers of Congress can vote to overturn (and prevent future similar) Biden Administration regulatory actions finalized after August 1st via the Congressional Review Act without the threat of a filibuster.
Our Take
This last-minute rule will probably survive, with some adjustments. Like Chopra, SEC Chair Gary Gensler is counting down his final days at the Commission; and like the open banking rule, these amendments are subject to being overturned by Congress or amended by a new Chair. However, this rule is less controversial, receiving somewhat guarded support from Republican Commissioner Hester Peirce and just one dissent from the other Republican Commissioner Mark Uyeda. Peirce said she looks forward to feedback on issues with “cash in motion” and operational challenges that arise as broker-dealers implement the amendments. Uyeda called for consideration of a number of changes, including a narrower hybrid threshold and omitting daily calculation on days when markets close early or a broker-dealer experiences disruptions outside of its control. It is not yet clear what Chair nominee Paul Atkins thinks of the amendments, but his prior advocacy for reducing compliance burdens suggests that he would favor adjustments that address the issues raised by the current Republican Commissioners. In addition, he may delay the compliance deadlines while he considers these adjustments.
What should broker-dealers do now? As the core requirement to perform daily reserve calculations will likely survive in some form, impacted broker-dealers should prepare for compliance. For some, this will require significant changes to their processes, systems, policies, and workflows. They will also likely need additional staffing and training to ensure teams are equipped to handle the operational and regulatory demands. Increased frequency of computations will put a burden on manual processes, so firms should identify opportunities to automate these processes through systematic data feeds, elimination of manual adjustments (where practicable), more robust calculation tools. Daily reserve requirements may also affect liquidity for firms heavily reliant on overnight financing. For these firms, evaluating cash flow models and diversifying funding sources will be essential to mitigate liquidity risk. As firms evaluate and prepare to implement these changes, they should take Commissioner Peirce up on her request for feedback on operational challenges and suggest reasonable modifications that maintain the amendments’ goal of reducing the risk that investors are delayed in recovering their assets in the event of a broker-dealer failure.
These notable developments hit our radar recently:
Fed to seek comment on stress tests. On December 23rd, the Fed announced that due to the evolving legal landscape and changes to the framework of administrative law, it will soon seek public comment on significant changes to improve the transparency of its bank stress tests and to reduce the volatility of resulting capital buffer requirements.
FDIC Vice Chairman speaks on FDIC policy outlook. On January 10th, FDIC Vice Chair Travis Hill spoke on policy changes he expects to see at the FDIC after current Chair Martin Gruenberg steps down on January 19th. He was critical of supervisory polices that focus on compliance with risk management processes, stating that the FDIC will need to make adjustments to how it implements the CAMELS rating system, to its examination manuals, and to examiner training. He also foreshadowed more openness to innovation and experimentation with new technology, including reinvigoration of the FDiTech and new guidance on fintech partnerships, digital assets, AI and tokenization. With respect to digital assets, he spoke out against “debanking” of these companies. Hill called for further changes to Basel III endgame to address overlap with stress testing and the fundamental review of the trading book (FRTB) as well as amend the capital treatment of credit risk transfers. He also stated that he expects the FDIC to withdraw from the International Network for Greening the Financial System and refrain from issuing any climate disclosure requirements for U.S. banks under new leadership.
CFTC sets new reporting compliance date for DCOs. On January 10th, the CFTC’s Division of Clearing and Risk announced a change to the date for registered derivatives clearing organizations (DCOs) to comply with the recently amended daily reporting requirements under Regulation 39.19(c)(1). The new expected compliance date for DCOs is December 10th, 2025. In the announcement, the Division stated that additional time was needed to conform and release an updated version of the Reporting Guidebook.
Treasury issues new sanctions against Russia and Venezuela. On January 10th, the Treasury Department’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) issued additional sanctions against targeting Russia’s energy sector and new sanctions against leaders of key Venezuelan economic and security agencies. The new sanctions against Russia target its key revenue sources from energy, including blocking oil traders, and oil producers.
© 2017 - 2025 PwC. All rights reserved. PwC refers to the PwC network and/or one or more of its member firms, each of which is a separate legal entity. Please see www.pwc.com/structure for further details.