
Our Take
Back to the future. President Trump’s initial raft of executive actions have a general theme of rewinding the clock to the end of his first administration and reversing policies promoted under former President Biden. However, there are also areas where the Trump Administration aims to create new policies, including around digital assets. Aside from effectively blocking the development of a U.S. CBDC, the EO leaves considerable leeway to the new working group – and the industry experts it consults – to develop a regulatory and supervisory framework for digital assets. One of the biggest hurdles the working group will face is coordinating the policies of agencies like the SEC and CFTC to more clearly designate which products and services each will cover. Although past efforts by Congressional Republicans have attempted to steer more oversight to the CFTC in part due to the SEC’s relatively strict policies under former Chair Gary Gensler, the working group will likely consider and recommend changes that make both the SEC and CFTC regimes less onerous under new Chairs. Legislation to define supervisory jurisdiction and establish a regulatory framework for digital assets would provide the most clarity for the industry and we expect that efforts with strong consumer protection and anti-financial crime elements could win bipartisan support. Even without a confirmed Chair, the SEC’s rapid recission of SAB 121 shows that policy changes could come quickly. Although the SEC had already relaxed enforcement of SAB 121 in response to bipartisan Congressional resolutions to overturn it, its formal removal may be a relief to financial institutions that have resisted offering digital asset custody services due to the potential capital impact of treating them as liabilities.
Regulatory freeze EO is not the biggest threat to Biden era regulation. The EO to freeze and review pending regulations is a common action for new administrations and does not directly impact most of the agencies that institute rules impacting financial institutions. However, independent agencies with leaders appointed by the new President typically follow the spirit of such directives and have even more latitude to review the regulatory policies of their predecessors than what is outlined in the EO. This is illustrated in Travis Hill’s statement which foreshadows broader review and replacement of already-effective FDIC policies. There are also several other avenues for Biden Administration rulemaking to be overturned, including lawsuits and simple majority votes in the House and Senate under the Congressional Review Act (CRA). For example, the CFPB finalized several rules in the last several months (e.g., personal financial data rights or open banking and limitations on overdrafts) that are within the 60-legislative-day CRA lookback period as well as facing legal challenges from industry groups that are likely to be successful. Taken more broadly, parties interested in the fate of Biden Administration rulemaking should look past the provisions of the regulatory freeze EO and closely follow the policy positions of President Trump’s nominees, the introduction of CRA motions and updates from the courts. See Appendix B for a non-exhaustive list of regulations that may be affected through these channels.
Second and third degree impacts remain to be seen. Beyond those most directly tied to regulation, many of Trump’s initial EOs will affect the functioning of regulatory agencies, the economy, and various industries in a way that may ultimately impact financial institutions. For example, efforts to reduce staffing at the agencies may require them to adjust their priorities and operations, including those related to examinations. Financial institutions may also need to assess the impact on their clients as EOs that seek to drastically cut down on the number of undocumented immigrants, refugees and asylum seekers could impact agriculture, construction and other industries with high reliance on immigrant labor. On the other hand, clients involved in mining, oil and gas may have new opportunities for investment and other financial services. Adjusting trade policies and tariffs is a familiar priority from Trump’s first Administration that is likely to see more concrete progress in a second term. Financial institutions may have to consider the impact of potential policy changes on import/export financing, on clients that rely on trade with Canada, Mexico, and China, and on the broader U.S. economy. Finally, although this has not yet been addressed in an EO, comments by Trump and Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott (R-SC) confirm that the Administration will seek to enact policies preventing financial institutions from cutting off law-abiding clients from accounts and other financial services as they have argued this has affected entities across the energy, firearm and digital asset spaces. The Senate Banking Committee will hold a hearing on “de-banking” on February 5th.
1. Federal executive departments and agencies most directly affecting the financial services industry include the Departments of Treasury, Commerce, and Labor. Executive Orders are generally not explicitly directed toward independent agencies such as the Fed, OCC, FDIC, CFPB, SEC and CFTC.