Our Take
Many industry comments appear to be addressed but the devil is in the details. Signs have been pointing to a re-proposal with “broad and material changes” for some time but Barr’s speech confirms that the agencies have taken a substantial portion of the industry’s feedback into account. Banks with between $100 to $250 billion in assets will be relieved to be largely exempted from the rule, with the exception of the removal of the AOCI opt out in the definition of capital and, for some, the market risk component. For the larger banks, it not only appears that the re-proposal is expected to align much more closely with implementations in other jurisdictions, removing aspects of the original proposal that “gold plated” those requirements and would have resulted in U.S. banks having to meet a higher standard than their foreign peers, some of the changes may even provide relief relative to the Basel framework. For example, additional relief for credit card exposures where the borrower uses a small portion of the limit goes beyond what is included in the Basel framework. Moreover, Barr suggests that the operational risk calculation may not only eliminate the internal loss multiplier, as the EU and UK did, but also introduce netting to fee income to better align this component with the net interest income and trading components. Although many of these changes appear likely to reduce some of the expected capital increase from Basel III endgame, the industry may need to wait for the re-proposal and QIS to fully understand the revised impact to their capital requirements and calculation processes.
The relief does not extend to all and the industry will likely have more feedback. The expected relief is less substantial for larger firms with material sales and trading businesses, including some of the G-SIBs, that may still face an estimated 9% increase to CET1 capital largely driven by the proposal’s market risk components. The impacted banks are likely to continue to make a case that not scaling back the capital impact of these requirements, particularly where they overlap with risks accounted for in the Fed’s stress tests, will drive activity to non-banks. As the banks once again remained well above their capital minimums in this year’s stress tests and Barr acknowledged that the Fed is looking at the complementary nature of these regimes, the agencies may be receptive to additional well-reasoned feedback on this front. Ultimately, even with material changes reflecting past industry comments, the re-proposal will likely not go unchallenged and the anticipated 60 day comment period will likely see a flood of further feedback.
For more on impacts from the original Basel III endgame proposal that are now expected to be addressed in the re-proposal, see:
Our Take
California still moving full steam ahead on climate disclosures. With the SEC’s climate risk disclosures still on hold, the California sustainability laws remain the primary source of climate disclosure requirements in the U.S. With the legislature formally declining to delay the regulations, impacted companies, which include both public and private companies that meet certain revenue thresholds and "do business" in California, should not wait for CARB’s implementing regulations to assess what they may need to report and prepare the necessary data. Larger companies will likely be familiar with global climate disclosure standards but may not be ready to meet the standard of mandatory requirements that face public and investor scrutiny as well as potential legal liability.
Companies that have already begun to voluntarily disclose or comply with international disclosure regimes may need to assess where the California requirements align and diverge in order to leverage systems, processes, and resources most efficiently. Those without an existing climate disclosure strategy should develop one to account for both the California requirements as well as the EU Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), if applicable. Companies should then (1) define key elements and reporting needs, (2) establish a process to collect relevant internal and external data, (3) expand risk, controls and governance to climate data collection and reporting, (4) identify opportunities for tech-enablement in order to prepare to publish investor-grade climate disclosures that can withstand third-party assurance.
For more, see our: In brief: California advances amendments to sustainability reporting laws and In the loop: California’s not waiting for the SEC’s climate disclosure rules
1 Scope 1 emissions are defined as “direct GHG emissions that occur from sources owned or controlled by the company,” and Scope 2 emissions are defined as “emissions primarily resulting from the generation of electricity purchased and consumed by the company.”