Our Take
The rule may not survive but the overdraft genie is out of the bottle. Once again, CFPB Director Rohit Chopra is not letting the election and his impending departure stop him from completing as much of his agenda as he can. While the new Senate and House Republican majorities will be able to overturn the rule via the Congressional Review Act, many banks have already eliminated or modified their overdraft fees amidst the CFPB’s campaign against “junk fees” over the last four years. An April 2024 CFPB report found that overdraft / non-sufficient fund fee revenue dropped by over 50% from 2019 to 2023 but that banks “appear to have stopped significantly reducing overdraft fees.” Although it may be politically unpopular to overturn a rule that limits overdraft fees, Republican lawmakers were critical of the January 2024 proposal and there is a growing undercurrent of opposition to the CFPB’s existence among Trump Administration advisers. Several trade groups also filed an immediate lawsuit against the rule, which a new CFPB Director could decline to contest.
What should banks do now? Although some banks may wait to determine the ultimate future of this rule before aligning their overdraft practices with its requirements, they should continue to assess the competitive landscape and consumer preferences around overdraft fees. Some consumers appreciate the convenience and availability of overdraft protection but will increasingly seek out banks that have reduced the associated fees. Accordingly, banks that have not already reduced their overdraft fees could model the competitive benefits of a break-even fee structure for attracting a new depositor base.
Our Take
For banks, the Hills are alive. Rep. Hill’s policy principles have much for banks of all sizes to endorse, particularly in terms of reducing their supervisory burden, re-emphasizing tailoring, and streamlining the merger approval process. However, there are limitations to what he can achieve in terms of legislation without support from Democrats due to the Republicans’ narrow majorities in the House and Senate. Some of these policies can and will be addressed by new agency leaders without the need for Congressional action, such as de-emphasizing climate risk management, amending recently updated merger review frameworks, and abandoning the FDIC’s attempt to update the 2020 brokered deposits rule. The agencies will also have substantial leeway to adjust their supervisory practices in terms of examination schedules, tailoring and ratings. Hill will be able to use the bully pulpit of the HFSC to prompt new agency leaders to take these actions and report progress at semi-annual oversight hearings. Pressure from Congress will add to the opportunity for banks to make their cases for adjustment to requirements and supervisory requirements that carry a heavy compliance burden without commensurate benefits for safety and soundness. While the policy document does not discuss digital asset policy, Hill has been a strong advocate in this space and it could be a topic that gains bipartisan support, particularly if the legislation includes strong consumer protection and anti-fraud provisions.
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