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The steady stream of deal activity in the asset and wealth management (AWM) sector over the latter half of 2023 continued into the first quarter of 2024. The activity is an encouraging sign that the uncertain macroeconomic environment — plagued by high interest rates, persistent inflation and geopolitical uncertainty — hasn’t completely stifled dealmaking.
In the first quarter of 2024, there were 79 announced AWM deals — the highest quarterly total since the robust first quarter of 2023 when 90 deals were announced in the sector. More than 20 additional AWM deals were announced in April. (See chart below).
Business model reinvention has been one of the primary drivers of AWM deal activity, as firms look to survive and grow amid margin compression and difficulty attracting new capital. To reinvent themselves, AWM firms are launching into new asset classes and/or developing additional distribution relationships to capture new assets under management (AUM). We anticipate similar deals will occur in the latter half of 2024 as firms continue to develop strategies to buy, build or partner their way into the alternatives market.
Several themes continue to drive AWM deal interest and activity:
Note: The primary M&A data source used in the midyear outlook is S&P Capital IQ.
Acquisitions continue to serve as a strategic tool for asset managers to drive growth and enhance profitability. Amid a backdrop of higher interest rates, a challenging fundraising environment and increased regulatory burdens, larger firms are seizing opportunities to acquire smaller, struggling peers. This trend is driven by a need for larger firms to achieve scale and efficiency, as well as to diversify product offerings, with the addition of a private credit platform or an expansion into real assets, particularly infrastructure.
Asset managers remain focused on maintaining margins, despite the potential risk of fee compression to attract new AUM. A critical aspect of this expansion is ensuring that the company’s infrastructure, including accounting, IT, HR systems and other back-office software, scale with the growth.
The challenge of attracting new funds is significant, compelling some companies to diversify their investment strategies, potentially leading to more industry consolidation. Investors’ concerns about the illiquidity of closed-end funds are prompting a shift toward greater liquidity demands, which will inevitably change asset managers’ market strategies. Moreover, there is a concerted effort to secure anchor commitments from major entities, such as sovereign wealth funds, to bolster fundraising efforts and stabilize capital inflows.
“The AWM sector continues to show resiliency amid a challenging economic environment.”
Higher inflation and interest rates over the past couple of years have prompted AWM leaders to focus on consolidation, as managers seek to improve their businesses’ financial standing and growth opportunities by developing economies of scale and expanding their alternative product offerings. Despite the continued challenges from unpredictable macroeconomic conditions in the near term, we anticipate these circumstances will continue to drive M&A activity as AWM leaders seek to improve business margins and expand growth avenues in a difficult fundraising environment.