10 April 2023 | 15 minute read
Insights
In the last 18 months, the OECD have published the Pillar Two Model Rules, Commentary and the Implementation Framework (collectively the ‘Model Rules’) for the Inclusive Framework jurisdictions to implement the Global Minimum Tax regime in their respective local legislation. A few first-mover jurisdictions are leading the charge by affirming the adoption of Pillar Two as early as 31 December 2023.
These changes have been catalysed by many interlinked and complex factors. Accelerated digital transformation has led to unparalleled economic and societal impacts, including wide ranging tax implications. Global geopolitics, significant pressures on government revenues in part due to the pandemic and the dynamic operating business model - as demanded by global investors - have cultivated a highly complex digital-led world. Governments no longer regard current tax rules as fit for the intended fiscal policy as the digital economy has led to a ‘race to the bottom’ - tax competition among territories to attract foreign investment.
Pillar Two (specifically the Global Anti-Base Erosion ‘GloBE’ tax regime) is designed to ensure large multinationals pay a minimum level of tax on profits earned in the jurisdictions in which they operate. It introduces a global minimum Effective Tax Rate (ETR) benchmark where multinational groups with consolidated revenue over €750 million are subject to a minimum ETR of 15%. This is estimated to generate around USD $220 billion in new tax revenues globally per year. GloBE tax regime offers a set of prescriptive rules with respect to which tax jurisdiction(s) gets the right to collect this new tax.
OECD reported that the average statutory tax rates have declined significantly between 2000 and 2022. Pillar Two presents a heightened phenomenon for Asia Pacific. In 2022, the average corporate tax rate for Asia Pacific (23 Asian and Pacific economies) had fallen to 19.2%, well below the OECD average of 30.2% as reported in 2000. This thereby presents a motivation for revenue authorities to support Pillar Two adoption and enable the collection of their fair share of ‘global minimum tax’ in their respective jurisdictions. However, implementing the GloBE tax regime demands taxpayers to consider rather complex analyses and Pillar Two-based adjustments. The eventual GloBE-based ETR could become well below 15% despite the statutory tax rate being above 15% in Asia Pacific jurisdictions.
At present, the OECD recommends implementation of Pillar Two by 2024 (originally 2023). The European Union has announced unanimous support to adopt the rules in 2024. The Directive was published on December 2022 (Council Directive (EU) 2022/2523 of 14 December 2022 on ensuring a global minimum level of taxation for multinational enterprise groups and large-scale domestic groups in the Union). Similarly several Asia Pacific jurisdictions are prepared to follow suit. For example, South Korea and Japan have become the first movers to pass Pillar Two in their domestic legislation with an effective date in 2024. Investment hubs such as Hong Kong SAR and Singapore have announced implementation of Qualified Domestic Minimum Top-up Tax in 2025 whilst Malaysia is pursuing a 2024 adoption. We expect other Asia Pacific jurisdictions will progressively adopt Pillar Two in the latter part of 2023.
The OECD’s ambitious plan on Pillar Two is expected to create wide-ranging impacts for companies and jurisdictional tax authorities alike. We expect multi-facet challenges which include collecting the necessary data for analyses and reporting, interpreting and applying the complex rules in each jurisdiction, developing an auditable approach and implementing multilateral dispute resolution should such circumstances arise.
More importantly, the recently published Pillar Two safe harbour rules could offer companies in scope a temporary relief from paying ‘Pillar Two Tax’ and preparing ‘Pillar Two Returns’. More tax directors are expected to dive into their Country-by-Country (CbC) Reporting methodology, as the baseline requirement to satisfy the ‘temporary safe harbour’ is to ensure the in-scope group prepares the Qualified CbC Report. Organisations also need to pay attention to the financial accounting disclosure requirements as and when the Pillar Two laws become substantially enacted in the local tax jurisdictions.
For governments, being the first mover has advantage in preserving its rights to tax the in-scope companies under the OECD Model Rules. It is important for revenue authorities to adopt Pillar Two as close to the Model Rules as possible to ensure the local Pillar Two legislation passes the peer review by the Inclusive Framework members. It is also expected that the tax authorities will provide further clarity in resolving future disputes on a multilateral basis as need be. Financial Accounting Standards regulators have also responded to the Pillar Two developments where draft guidance has been issued to promote transparency and clarity on financial accounting disclosure requirements.
In circumstances where governments offer concessionary tax regimes as part of their foreign direct investment strategy, we expect governments would establish unique local responses to realign their concessionary tax design to maintain its attractiveness to foreign investments. This is particularly true for Asia Pacific since many territories here are offering tax incentives that drive effective tax rates below 15%.
In general, Pillar Two would likely negate the benefits of the legacy tax holiday design. Singapore, Thailand and Malaysia, to name a few, may feel this impact. It follows that global companies are seeking support from governments in another form. These global companies would obviously favour any form of cash grants from governments considering the rapid rising operating costs in certain Asia Pacific jurisdictions. If a tax credit route is chosen, the challenge remains that the scheme must satisfy the conditions and features of refundable credits under the Model Rules to yield a favourable treatment in computing the jurisdictional GloBE ETR. It remains to be seen how governments would embed the Pillar Two rules in their fiscal policy design whilst achieving their intended Foreign Direct Investment strategy.
For multinational companies within scope, to ensure readiness for Pillar Two, there is a need to consider a three-pronged approach:
The “Pillar Two journey” ahead could get more complex as the devil is always in the details. While the implementation framework published in December 2022 aims to simplify compliance, many companies found that in practice, the framework demands for another set of calculations with an obvious mandate of attaining a qualified standard of CbC Reporting to meet safe harbour rules.
Pillar Two marks a new international tax reality that is set to disrupt the global tax system. As companies are counting down to 2024, now is the time to stand up an actionable plan to accept and be ready for this new reality. Those companies with transformative vision in their tax governance will be best placed to gain the first mover advantage and stay ahead of the evolving tax disruption.
Rose Sim