A powerful story about the future

BC Mine 2023

Facing the greatest opportunity in a generation, British Columbia’s mining industry must step out of the shadows and show Canadians and the global market it’s ready to become the world’s premier supplier of critical minerals.

There are 17 proposed critical minerals mines in development in the province, representing the potential for extraordinary economic returns as the world seeks these indispensable building blocks of a net-zero future.

For years, the BC mining industry has chosen to keep a low profile, even as it has quietly led on many environmental issues. Miners in the province, for instance, have understood the value of attaining social licence from the communities in which they operate since well before environmental, social and governance (ESG) concerns went mainstream. 

Now that much of the world has begun to recognize the need to reduce carbon emissions, British Columbia is primed to become one of the most reliable and lowest-carbon-emitting suppliers of critical minerals. The industry boasts leading technical know-how and is successfully working with all levels of government to get the necessary policies in place to make these mines operational.

There remain challenges ahead, including the need to build electrical and transportation infrastructure, attract billions of dollars’ worth of investment capital, make sure First Nations communities are project partners and ensure the industry is resistant to the physical risks of climate change. While these are all manageable, they must be addressed promptly to have effect.

It’s up to the mining industry to accelerate the process by showcasing its leadership as well as the positive impact the sector can have on British Columbia, Canada and the rest of the world.

A year of progress

The BC mining industry has been working with the province to get necessary investments and policies in place, and we’re seeing progress on multiple fronts. Over the past year, the provincial government issued certificates and permits to move several mining projects ahead. It also recently unveiled a Critical Minerals Strategy, which includes the creation of the Critical Minerals Project Advancement Office to expediate review and approval processes of new mines.

As part of this strategy, the government is committing to work in partnership with First Nations and the industry to identify and advance critical minerals infrastructure, such as the North Coast Transmission Line, which is being supported by a CA$36 billion capital plan at BC Hydro.

The province is also taking significant steps to co-develop with First Nations a new fiscal relationship that will support self-determination and create more opportunities for Indigenous participation in critical mining projects on their territories.

Last November, for instance, the BC government and the Tahltan Nation signed one of the first consent-based decision-making agreements under the Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples Act. This gives the local Indigenous community final consent over any substantial changes at the Red Chris copper and gold mine in northern British Columbia.

These developments show the extent to which industry, government and First Nations can work together and produce productive outcomes. While further work is needed, this co-operation should be promoted as part of the success story behind mining in Canada.

A year in numbers

Financial data for the BC Mine 2023 annual report derives from PwC Canada’s survey of 14 operating mines and ten organizations that had projects in exploration or development.

10% decrease to 15.5 billion in revenue for survey participants in 2023 vs. 2022

This was driven by a decrease in realized commodity prices, particularly a decrease in the price of realized metallurgical coal, which is the largest contributor to revenue in BC. This was partially offset by an overall increase in volumes shipped for most commodities in 2023 compared to 2022.

Exploration and development stage companies accounted for 78% of the increase from 2023 vs. 2022. This increase was largely driven by two development projects expected to commission in 2024.

Overall prices decreased but volumes shipped remained consistent

Metallurgical coal increased by 13%, while the number of gold ounces and copper tonnes shipped decreased by 3% and 1%, respectively.

Payments to governments increased by 4% to $1.1 billion from 2023 vs. 2022
Critical minerals account for 26% of total revenue in BC for a total of $3.8 billion

These critical minerals (copper, zinc and molybdenum) are part of the Canadian Critical Minerals Strategy, as presented by Natural Resources Canada.

Metallurgical coal revenue totals $8.9 billion, which accounts for 61% of BC´s net mining revenue

The decrease in average realized coal prices in 2023 reduced metallurgical coal revenue by 17% compared to 2022, offset by increased volumes.

45% increase in exploration and development expenditure from 2023 vs. 2022

Activity was aimed at pursuing exploration and development targets throughout the province, as well as continued exploration at operating mine sites.


Four-year financial summary

(CA$ millions, except where otherwise noted)


(Swipe table to the left to view all content)

Type

2023

2022

2021

2020

Net mining revenue

14,494

16,551

12,351

8,098

Net income (pre-tax)

2,955

5,466

4,203

-417

Net income as a % of revenue (after-tax) 17% 27% 31% -8%

Cash flow from operations

5,738

8,195

5,165

2,612

Payments to governments1

1,098

1,057

670

382

Exploration and development expenditure

182

118

149

270

Capital expenditure

2,575

2,072

1,999

1,619


Revenue of commodity by %


Direct employment: Number of mining employees


Average market prices and forecasts2

 

2022

2023

2024(3)

Coal (US$/tonne)

355

263

267

Copper (US$/lb)

3.99

3.79

4.05

Gold (US$/oz)

1,802

1,988

2,119

Avg. FX rate

1.2523

1.3497

 

¹ Net mining revenues are reported after deduction of smelting and refining charges, freight costs and marketing.
² Includes direct taxes, other levies and payments related to employment.
³ In 2024 forecast from CIBC Global Mining Group Analyst Consensus Commodity Price Forecasts as of May 1, 2024, and FX rates from the Bank of Canada.


Question: How exposed do you believe your company will be to the following key threats in the next 12 months?

Cost of capital, inflation and government regulation are the top three threats in the next 12 months.

Source: PwC Canada's BC Mine 2023 report


Question: Which of the following best describes your company’s level of progress on each of these actions?

Operating and exploration and development companies report progress on improving energy efficiency

Source: PwC Canada's BC Mine 2023 report


Industry spotlight featuring President and CEO of the Mining Association of BC, Michael Goehring

More to be done

Energy transition 

Low-cost, dependable clean electricity is vital for the growth of mining in British Columbia and the continued decarbonization of existing mines. Mines will need to have the ability to run on clean power, which will include transitioning from diesel-fuelled haul trucks and mobile equipment to electric or hydrogen-powered vehicles.

Over the next few years, we expect to see enabling technologies for this shift commercialized, making it imperative that the province expand its electrical infrastructure today. BC Hydro has committed to spending CA$36 billion over the next decade to build out its electrical system, representing a 50% increase over its previous ten-year plan. But even more will have to be done if the province is to maximize the opportunity presented by critical minerals.

Critical investment

The process required for mining companies to acquire the necessary permits to build and operate their sites remains too long. Both the provincial and federal governments appear to understand the imperative. Ottawa has committed to reducing waiting times significantly, and the BC government is investing more money to support the permitting process.

However, the need to get mines operating can’t be overstated. Around the world, other regions that have significant critical minerals deposits are trying to attract foreign capital to develop their own projects. British Columbia, as well as Ontario and Quebec, must win this global race for capital, in part by proving they can bring mines and minerals to market in a timely fashion.

It's not just red tape that investors are concerned about. In PwC’s Global Investor Survey 2023, which polled 345 investors and analysts around the world, three-quarters of respondents said how companies manage sustainability-related risks and opportunities is an important factor in their investment decision making.

The data also showed that investors want better information from companies, including the cost of meeting sustainability commitments and a clear road map for achieving them. In fact, 75% of respondents agreed with the following statement: “How a company manages sustainability-related risks and opportunities is an important factor in my investment decision making.”

Sustainability in mining

While Canadian mining companies have led on ESG reporting efforts for many years, the bar is rising as new requirements come into effect. Most mid-sized to large Canadian companies are already preparing for new domestic rules, which are expected to align with the emerging international sustainability standards.

If Canadian mining companies want to capture international investment, they’ll need to prepare reports using the new standards. Companies shouldn’t underestimate the time and level of effort it will take to make this move. Depending on where they operate, and what they do, they could eventually be subject to several different reporting standards.

Sarah Marsh,National Sustainability Reporting and Assurance Leader, PwC Canada

The reporting standards that are materializing will translate into better data for investors down the road. That represents an opportunity for BC miners if they make the right decisions on how to invest now to get to net zero. Already, many of the large companies that are buying critical minerals today are starting to get more strategic about their supply chains—and they’ll increasingly want to know materials have been mined responsibly.

Rethinking taxes 

A series of new Canadian taxation rules, including new interest limitation measures and recently enacted mandatory disclosure rules, is going to add another layer of compliance mining companies need to consider as they weigh investments and construct deals. The changes will require miners to quickly grasp the business implications and develop a plan to meet the data and disclosure requirements.

New taxation policy may create some challenges in the short term, but the changes are an opportunity to rethink the strategic role of tax in financial planning and deal making. They also give companies a reason to reimagine how they use technology to process and analyze information. This might include adding automated systems and other digital tools that improve transparency and reporting.

Brooke Ko,National Mining Leadership Team, PwC Canada
Labour market 

Securing sufficient capital and creating the right policies are only part of the formula for success. The BC mining industry will need to attract a wave of fresh talent in the years ahead to get the critical minerals out of the ground and off to market. Labour is already tight in the sector, and demand will only increase as projects come online and thousands of employees retire.

There’s a strong, concerted and creative effort among mining companies to attract and train new workers. The industry already receives provincial and federal support through the financing of the Centre of Training Excellence in Mining and the Mining Industry Human Resources Council. Now is the time to see an even more focused and tailored government strategy at the secondary and post-secondary education levels, as well as greater efforts to boost the participation of First Nations, women and other under-represented groups in the industry.

BC mining’s future starts now

British Columbia's natural resources include 16 of the 31 critical minerals considered essential by the Government of Canada to building a green economy and getting the world to net-zero emissions. Demand for copper, nickel, zinc and molybdenum, to name a few, is set to explode in the next 15 years, according to the International Energy Agency.

The mining industry in British Columbia has already done a lot of the heavy lifting to prepare the ground for success. It’s time now for those mining companies and the sector to help the rest of the country and the world understand the enormous opportunity that awaits those ready to step up and embrace the risk. And it’s time for the provincial and federal governments, in close partnership with the industry and First Nations, to show visionary thinking and strong leadership.

To continue the conversation, please reach out to us today.

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Mark Patterson

Mark Patterson

BC Mining Leader, PwC Canada

Tel: +1 604 806 7160

Monica Banting

Monica Banting

National Mining Leader, PwC Canada

Tel: +1 416 941 8233

Brooke Ko

Brooke Ko

National Mining Leadership Team, PwC Canada

Tel: +1 604 806 7798

Sarah Marsh

Sarah Marsh

Partner, National Sustainability Report and Assurance Leader, PwC Canada

Tel: +1 604 806 7123

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