GCC Capital Markets Watch - Q1 2023

Q1 2023 Overview

Against a background of diminishing activities in global capital markets since 2022, the GCC region has carried on strongly in Q1 2023 with a significant amount of IPO activity, generating the second highest Q1 proceeds since 2015. 

USD 3.3 billion in proceeds were generated from 9 IPOs in Q1 2023, compared to USD 4.9 billion from 15 IPOs in Q1 2022 and USD 7.2 billion from 15 IPOs in Q4 2022. Whilst this represents a 34% and 54% decrease in proceeds respectively, it is worth noting that the volume of IPOs in these two quarters were the highest ever and were significantly higher than the past average.

The UAE market had been particularly active, accounting for over 90% of the GCC IPO proceeds (USD 3.0 billion) from its two IPOs. The IPO of ADNOC Gas Plc represented the biggest listing of Q1 2023 and generated more proceeds compared to the four UAE IPOs in Q4 2022 combined. The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia dominated in terms of volume with its 6 IPOs in the quarter generating USD 71 million in proceeds, representing 2% of GCC’s total Q1 2023 proceeds. Oman played host to the remaining IPO - the listing of Abraj Energy Services generated proceeds of USD 244 million. 

With the range of ongoing government incentives  (for instance, 6 of Dubai’s planned state-owned listings, as announced in November 2021, are yet to take place, and  the USD 1.4 billion Abu Dhabi IPO fund has also shortlisted a number of private companies as candidates for potential IPOs) further helped by foreign investors whose investment options in their respective home market are reduced due to the lack of IPOs in regions outside of the Middle East, we expect the IPO pipeline to remain strong in the near future. 

Debt activity had mostly been centered in the UAE in Q1 2023. Nasdaq Dubai attracted a number of corporate and sovereign bonds and sukuk, some of which offer floating rates.

GCC Q1 2023 highlights

Top 3 GCC IPOs in Q1 2023 by proceeds

ADNOC Gas Company Plc
Exchange
ADX
Pricing date
13-Mar-2023
Money raised
USD 2.5bn
Presight AI Holding Plc
Exchange
ADX
Pricing date
27-Mar-2023
Money raised
USD 496.4m
Abraj Energy Services
Exchange
MSM
Pricing date
14-Mar-2023
Money raised
USD 244.1m

Regional Activity

Q1 2023 GCC IPO markets experienced significant level of activity as initiatives developed by various countries in the region to stimulate IPO activities are yielding results. The government of Dubai has also launched the D33 Economic Agenda this quarter to capitalize on the current favorable economic landscape with the aim of doubling the size of Dubai’s economy in the next decade which is likely to lead to additional capital raising activities. 

The UAE had 2 IPOs raising USD 3.0 billion, both listed on Abu Dhabi stock exchange (“ADX”), making the country ranked 2nd by proceeds globally in Q1 2023. The IPO of ADNOC Gas PLC on ADX generated USD 2.5 billion in proceeds. This IPO marked the biggest IPO within the GCC and globally for the quarter and became the largest ever IPO on ADX to date, breaking the record set by Borouge in Q2 2022. The offering was 50 times oversubscribed with a total demand value of USD 124 billion. ADNOC Gas Plc marks the third subsidiary listing by the ADNOC Group, following the IPOs off ADNOC Drilling and ADNOC Distribution that completed in 2021 and 2017 respectively. Whilst Dubai did not have any listing in Q1 2023, the first listing on DFM for the year has already taken place at the time of writing. The currency exchange business Al Ansari Exchange completed its IPO on DFM in April this year. 

In the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, 6 IPOs took place on Tadawul Nomu in Q1 2023 generating USD 71 million, which represents 2.1% of the total GCC proceeds. Leen Alkhair Trading Co. and Noforth Food Products Co. were the two largest listings on Tadawul Nomu in Q1 2023 raising USD 17 million and USD 12 million respectively. There was also a direct listing of Aleqemam for Computer Systems on Tadawul. Although the level of KSA IPO activity has decreased since Q4 2022, the IPO pipeline for KSA remains buoyant with reportedly at least 5 IPOs already underway for Q2 2023. 

In the Sultanate of Oman, Abraj Energy Services completed its IPO on the Muscat Stock Exchange (MSX) which generated USD 244 million in proceeds and was 8.7 times oversubscribed. Abraj Energy Services is Oman’s largest oilfield services provider. Its IPO is the largest on MSX since the 2010 listing of Ooredoo Oman. The listing of Abraj Energy Services is a manifestation of the Oman Investment Authority (“OIA”) initiative to encourage IPO activities on the MSX by privatizing government investments. MSX also hosted the private placement of Oman Qatar Insurance Company this quarter.

Since January, MSX has also joined the Tabadul digital exchange hub that was set up by ADX and Bahrain Bourse. This hub enables mutual market access that provides a trading network between these regional stock exchanges, further enhancing liquidity for investors participating in these markets. 

The Qatar Stock Exchange (“QSE”) did not have any IPOs but hosted the direct listing of Beema and Dukhan Bank.

GCC debt markets have been active in Q1 2023, particularly in the UAE.

In the sovereign debt market, the UAE federal government raised USD 6.0 billion through the listing of two treasury bonds on Nasdaq Dubai. Also in the UAE, the Government of Sharjah issued USD 1.0 billion of GMTN instruments on Nasdaq Dubai.

In the corporate debt market, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited  (through various branches) issued carbon-neutrality-themed bonds with a total value of USD 2.2 billion on Nasdaq Dubai. Emirates NBD PJSC also issued a USD 1.0 billion bond on Nasdaq Dubai.

Nasdaq Dubai also witnessed a high level of sukuk activity including the listings of corporate sukuks by IDB Trust Services Limited, DIB Sukuk Limited and EL Sukuk Company Limited  worth USD 2.0 billion, USD 1.0 billion and USD 272.5 million, respectively.


GCC equity markets performance by cumulative total return since 1 January 2021

GCC equity markets performance by cumulative total return since 1 January 2021

Source: Eikon (Thomson Reuter), PwC Analysis


Share price performance of 2021, 2022 and 2023 GCC IPOs* by sector, relative to the respective all share index, from the IPO date to 31 March 2023

Source: Eikon (Thomson Reuter), PwC Analysis

The percentage figures shown in the chart above are the average share price movements of the newly listed companies under each sector relative to the index performance of the respective exchange.

*The IPOs of Al Mal Capital REIT and Oman reinsurance have been excluded due to insufficient data.

Global IPO performance

Capital markets around the globe continue to struggle as 2023 kicks off with Q1 2023 global IPO volume remaining underwhelming. Q1 2023 generated the lowest quarterly proceeds since 2019. There were 234 IPOs in Q1 2023 generating USD 25.7 billion, compared to USD 58 billion raised through 286 IPOs in Q1 2022 (Q4 2022: USD 31.0 billion, 365 IPOs). This represents a circa 55% reduction in proceeds and 18% decrease in volume compared to Q1 2022. IPO markets in the US and Europe continue to show limited activity, however Asia-Pacific and the Middle East are consistently outperforming other territories. Asia-Pacific markets accounted for 66% of global IPO proceeds; a significant portion of this activity took place in Chinese Mainland.

A trend reversal is not anticipated in the near future. The IPO market will likely remain subdued until investor sentiment and economic conditions improve. With the possibility of a US recession looming overhead, potential investors will be focusing even more on the quality and key performance metrics of a company in making their investment decisions.

Top 3 IPOs in Q1 2023 by proceeds

ADNOC Gas PLC
Exchange
ADX
Pricing date
3-Mar-2023
Money raised
USD 2.5bn
Shaanxi Energy Investment Co Ltd
Exchange
Shenzhen Stock Exchange
Pricing date
28-Mar-2023
Money raised
USD 1.0bn
Nextracker Inc
Exchange
NASDAQ-US
Pricing date
8-Feb-2023
Money raised
USD 0.7bn

Consistent with the recent quarters, the Asia-Pacific region dominated the IPO market in Q1 2023 by both volume and proceeds. The region generated USD 17.0 billion from 158 IPOs (Q1 2022: USD 34.0 billion, 175 IPOs), with Chinese Mainland and Indonesia generating the most proceeds. Mainland Chain ranked 1st in terms of global proceeds and accounted for half of all global IPO proceeds.  IPOs in Indonesia generated USD 2.2 billion in the quarter, ranking 4th globally by proceeds. Japan, Hong Kong SAR and South Korea also had substantial IPO activity, ranking 5th, 6th and 9th globally by IPO proceeds.

The Americas had 44 IPOs generating USD 3.1 billion, representing its lowest Q1 in 5 years. In Q1 2023, the US ranked 3rd globally by proceeds. The difference in proceeds between USA and Chinese Mainland continues to increase each quarter, further indicating the separation between the US and Chinese Mainland equity markets.

The EMEA continued to be bolstered by the Middle East, with the UK and Europe being relatively quiet. In Q1 2023, there were 32 IPOs with a combined proceeds of USD 5.5 with the UAE accounting for 58% of the proceeds. The UK failed to make the global IPO proceeds top 10 list once more as the UK IPO market remains closed for yet another quarter. In contrast, the UAE ranked 2nd globally by IPO proceeds as economic growth and favourable government initiatives continue to support its IPO markets. The listing of ADNOC Gas PLC in Abu Dhabi was the largest listing in the world in Q1 2023. Saudi Arabia hosted 6 smaller scale IPOs generating USD 0.1 billion.

Global IPO activity
Top countries by % of total IPO proceeds raised in Q1 2023

Top tips

Liquidity is key - debt vs equity funding

As interest rates are on the rise and as such the cost of debt is also increasing, companies need to examine their approach to financing. Companies potentially in need of debt capital might be better off completing such transactions sooner. They should also consider how their credit ratings might have changed because of the impact of COVID-19 on their businesses which could potentially increase costs related to debt financing. On the other hand, regional government drives and the current GCC economic activity enhanced by the increasing oil price are likely to have a positive impact on investors’ confidence, giving rise to increased equity activity.

Today determines tomorrow

Companies interested in equity funding in the longer term should start preparing now. Because of the regulatory requirements, which vary depending on your chosen market, it typically takes 6-12 months for a private company to get ready for an IPO – a process which involves looking at how your business has performed over the last 3 years, its outlook and its corporate governance.

Equity ready

Ensuring all the regulatory requirements are met is a given in all IPOs. One key aspect to also consider in an IPO is the equity story - a company’s appeal to potential investors. In the post COVID-19 era, equity stories will need to be stronger than ever. Executives need to ensure the company has a solid track record and a future-proof strategy that will resonate with its target investors. Some of the major themes apparent in equity transactions globally in the recent quarters include a strong balance sheet, efficient capital structure and environmental, social and governance (ESG) premium.

GCC IPO activity available from 2015 - present, filtered by stock exchange

Stock Exchange

 

Stock Exchange
Deal value ($m)
Number of IPOs
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IPO values by sector


How PwC can help you

At PwC, we understand that good preparation is essential to a successful IPO and debt issuance. We have experience in a wide range of international, regional and domestic IPOs and debt issuances, and can provide expert guidance from initial planning, through to execution and beyond.

IPO and debt preparation

Our IPO and debt Readiness Assessment is an early stage diagnostic review of the critical areas needed for a successful issuance. We highlight where current processes, procedures, structures and practices fall short of the requirements for a company whose securities are to be publicly traded and provide recommendations on how to address these gaps. Our assessment can be tailored to include these aspects as well as some broader areas such as business continuity and contingency planning.

IPO and debt execution

We work with issuers and their advisors to provide IPO and debt advisory and assurance services. This may include working capital reporting, financial due diligence, financial positions and prospects procedures assessment, assistance with MD&A drafting in relation to a prospectus, comfort letters and project management.

Authors

Muhammad Hassan

Capital Markets Leader, PwC Middle East

Alex Tsui

Senior Manager, Capital Markets, PwC Middle East

Contact us

Muhammad Hassan

Muhammad Hassan

Capital Markets Leader, PwC Middle East

Tel: +971 4 3043443

Danny Barclay

Danny Barclay

Capital Market Director, PwC Middle East

Tel: +971 50 129 1462

Blaise Jenner

Blaise Jenner

IPO structuring Leader, PwC Middle East

Tel: +971 4 304 3067

Haitham  Aljabry

Haitham Aljabry

Finance & Accounting Consulting, Partner, PwC Middle East

Tel: +966 54 732 2225

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